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GI

G III APPAREL GROUP LTD /DE/ (GIII)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 revenue of $1.09B grew 1.8% YoY; GAAP EPS was $2.55 and non-GAAP EPS $2.59, both exceeding company guidance, driven by >30% growth in owned brands (DKNY, Karl Lagerfeld, Donna Karan, Vilebrequin) and better-than-expected gross margin mix; inventory was down 10% YoY and debt cut 52% YoY following redemption of $400M notes .
  • Versus Q3 guidance issued on Sep 5, revenue came in roughly in line ($1.09B vs “$1.10B”), while non-GAAP EPS materially beat ($2.59 vs $2.20–$2.30) on gross margin outperformance and lower-than-planned expenses; company raised FY25 EPS and EBITDA outlook but trimmed FY25 sales outlook to ~$3.15B reflecting weather and supply chain timing .
  • Management cited warm weather and a brief port strike that delayed $20–$30M of shipments (most shifting to Q4), with Q4 shaping favorably as outerwear sell-throughs improved into holiday; wholesale and retail both showed strength, with retail gross margin up 320 bps YoY to 52.3% on merchandising changes .
  • Strategic catalysts: accelerating owned-brand mix (royalty-free, licensing upside), international expansion via AWWG, retirement of high-cost notes (interest savings), and new licenses (Converse global apparel) set up margin durability and medium-term growth; near-term narrative skewed positive on EPS/gross margin beat and raised FY EPS despite softer top-line guide .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Owned brands delivered outsized growth (>30%), driving mix-led margin outperformance and EPS above guidance; management highlighted sequentially strengthening sell-throughs into holiday and efficient inventory positioning .
    • Balance sheet de-risking: redeemed $400M 2025 notes, cutting total debt 52% YoY to ~$224M and improving optionality; net interest expense outlook reduced alongside improved liquidity .
    • Retail segment progressing: double-digit comps; retail gross margin expanded to 52.3% vs 49.1% YoY on merchandising changes; DTC sites/stores saw improved traffic and conversion from marketing investments .
    • CEO quote: “The power of our transforming business model is delivering margin expansion and bottom-line outperformance” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Weather and logistics: unseasonably warm weather and a brief port strike delayed $20–$30M of shipments, pressuring outerwear categories in early Q4 before temperatures turned; Q3 gross margin rate declined YoY (39.8% vs 40.6%) given brand/program mix .
    • Top-line outlook trimmed: FY25 net sales reduced to ~$3.15B (from ~$3.20B) despite EPS raise, reflecting macro, weather, and launch-related timing; Q3 revenue roughly in line with guidance but not a clear top-line beat .
    • PVH transition headwind persists: CK/Tommy sales penetration down to ~30%; company working to backfill with owned brands and new licenses (Nautica, Halston, Converse), but mix shift carries execution risk and near-term SG&A burden due to elevated marketing .

Financial Results

Overall comparisons (Q1 → Q2 → Q3 FY2025)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($MM)$609.7 $644.8 $1,086.8
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.12 $0.53 $2.55
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS$0.12 $0.52 $2.59
Gross Margin % (Company)42.5% 42.8% 39.8%

YoY and guidance context (Q3 focus)

MetricQ3 2024 (YoY Comp)Q3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Company Guidance (as of Sep 5)Result vs Guidance
Revenue ($MM)$1,067.1 $1,086.8 ~$1,100 In line/slightly below
GAAP Diluted EPS$2.74 $2.55 N/AN/A
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS$2.78 $2.59 $2.20–$2.30 Beat (material)
Gross Margin % (Company)40.6% 39.8% “Down YoY” mix-driven Slightly better than internal plan

Segment breakdown (Net sales)

SegmentQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Wholesale Net Sales ($MM)$598 $620 $1,070
Retail Net Sales ($MM)$31 $37 $42

Additional KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Inventory ($MM)$479.7 $610.5 $532.5
Total Debt ($MM)$426.4 $414.0 $224.2
Working Capital ($MM)$1,140.4 $1,047.7 $980.9
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM), quarter$22.3 $43.3 $174.4

Notes on non-GAAP: Q3 adjustments included $1.6M write-off of deferred financing costs and $0.5M one-time warehouse severance; net effect ~$0.04 per diluted share; prior-year Q3 included KL-related incentives, imputed interest, and asset impairments .

Guidance Changes

FY2025 guidance progression (from Sep 5 Q2 release to Dec 10 Q3 release)

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Sep 5)Current Guidance (Dec 10)Change
Net SalesFY2025~$3.20B ~$3.15B Lowered
GAAP Net IncomeFY2025$179–$184M $185–$190M Raised
GAAP Diluted EPSFY2025$3.94–$4.04 $4.08–$4.18 Raised
Non-GAAP Net IncomeFY2025$180–$185M $186–$191M Raised
Non-GAAP Diluted EPSFY2025$3.95–$4.05 $4.10–$4.20 Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY2025$305–$310M $309–$314M Raised
Net Interest ExpenseFY2025~$24.0M (incl. ~$1.7M write-off) ~$20.4M (incl. $1.6M write-off) Lowered
Tax RateFY2025~28.5% ~28.6% Slightly higher
Incremental Expenses (Launch/Marketing)FY2025~ $60M ~ $55M Lowered

Q4 color: Company expects Q4 gross margin up YoY; SG&A dollars to increase by roughly the same dollar amount as Q3 increases; capex ~$50M unchanged .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Owned-brand mix and marginsQ1/Q2: Gross margin expansion from owned-brand mix; retail transformation; heavy marketing weighted to Q1/Q3 .Owned brands up >30%; company GM 39.8% (better than plan); retail GM 52.3% vs 49.1% YoY; wholesale GM 38.4% vs 39.6% .Improving margin quality despite YoY GM down on mix .
Weather & demandQ1: Cautiously optimistic; strong brand momentum; Q2: cleaner inventories; anticipated Q3 GM down YoY due to mix .Warm weather softened early Q4 cold-weather sell-through; then improved as temps fell; Black Friday momentum .Normalizing as weather turned .
Supply chain/logisticsQ2: Built some higher freight into guidance; lead times modestly longer; retired notes .Brief port strike delayed $20–$30M shipments (mostly shifted to Q4); overall flexible sourcing footprint .Manageable; timing shift into Q4 .
PVH license transitionQ1/Q2: PVH penetration declining; go-forward portfolio ~70% FY25; replacing Tommy Jeans with Nautica .PVH penetration approaching ~30% of sales; CK/TH still profitable; replacing shelf space with owned/new licenses .Progressing as planned .
International expansion (AWWG)Q1: Initial AWWG stake; strategy to expand Europe/India . Q2: Increased to ~20%; +$200M potential in Iberia 3–5 yrs .Continued emphasis; early-stage DKNY/Donna Karan international rollout from Fall 2025 .Building capacity .
New licenses (Converse, Nautica, Halston)Q2: Announced Converse global apparel; Nautica jeans replaces Tommy Jeans .Converse sampling underway; Spring ’25 touches, broader Fall ’25 rollout; long-term $200M potential; Halston/Champion outerwear launched .Positive pipeline .
Retail segment profitabilityQ1/Q2: Turnaround underway, double-digit comps .Breaking even this year; profitable next year for first time in a decade as footprint optimized .Improving .
Tariffs/China exposureQ1/Q2: Sourcing diversification discussed .China production reduced to just over 30% (ex-outerwear ~20%); confident in shifting if tariffs rise .Risk mitigated .

Management Commentary

  • “I am very pleased with our strong third quarter results, with earnings per diluted share exceeding our expectations, driven by over 30% organic growth of our key owned brands DKNY, Karl Lagerfeld, Donna Karan and Vilebrequin.” — Morris Goldfarb, CEO .
  • “As we have progressed into the fourth quarter, we have experienced strengthening sell-throughs across our brands... our inventories are well-positioned to support demand.” — Morris Goldfarb .
  • “Gross margins for the quarter were better than anticipated, driven by greater penetration of our higher-margin owned brands.” — Morris Goldfarb .
  • “Historically, we’ve struggled in our own retail... next year, for the first time in a decade, we will be profitable in our own retail.” — Morris Goldfarb .
  • “We’ve significantly reduced our China production... down to just over 30% today (ex outerwear ~20%).” — Morris Goldfarb .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q3 beat drivers and Q4 bridge: Gross margin above plan and prudently managed SG&A offset slight top-line shortfall; outerwear softness and logistics timing weighed on Q3, with $20–$30M shipments slipping to Q4; Q4 outlook calls for ~6% revenue growth and >25% EPS growth with GM up YoY .
  • Converse rollout: Spring ’25 limited shipments, broader Fall ’25 global penetration; talent and factory approvals in place; long-run revenue potential of ~$200M cited .
  • SG&A and marketing cadence: Heavy marketing in Q3 (fall campaigns), elevated SG&A tied to brand launches and capability build; expect leverage as scale increases, with Donna Karan/DKNY spend a focus .
  • Inventory/tariffs: Inventories “in excellent shape” across go-forward and non-go-forward; China manufacturing ~30% (ex outerwear ~20%) with ability to shift quickly if tariff risk escalates .
  • Retail segment: Comp improvement, store closures completed; retail margin expansion and breakeven in FY25 set up profitability next year .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) could not be retrieved at this time due to an SPGI daily request limit, so we compare to company guidance instead. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.59 materially beat Q3 company guidance of $2.20–$2.30; revenue was roughly in line/slightly below the ~$1.10B guide .
  • Implication: Street EPS models likely need to move up on mix-driven margins and lower interest expense; top-line models may drift modestly lower given trimmed FY sales guide to $3.15B, but narrative remains EPS/margin-led .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift to owned brands is working: despite a modest YoY gross margin rate decline in Q3 from mix, margin quality and EPS are improving vs internal plans; sustained GM strength and lower interest underpin FY EPS raise .
  • Clean balance sheet after redeeming $400M notes and lower net interest support capital deployment into growth and potential shareholder returns over time .
  • Donna Karan and DKNY momentum, plus Karl Lagerfeld international scaling, provide multi-year growth engines; new licenses (Converse, Nautica, Halston) diversify and backfill PVH transition .
  • Near-term demand risk skewed to weather-sensitive categories, but Q4 setup improved as temperatures normalized and delayed receipts shift into the quarter; company expects Q4 GM up YoY .
  • Retail segment moving from loss to profit enhances consolidated margin profile and brand control, aided by marketing and merchandising upgrades .
  • International optionality via AWWG (Europe/Iberia/India) and owned-brand licensing (fragrance, accessories) broadens TAM and earnings durability .
  • Watch catalysts: holiday sell-throughs vs plan, Q4 EPS delivery on >25% growth target, early Converse order visibility, and continued PVH transition execution .

Appendix: Additional Detail on Non-GAAP Adjustments and Margins

  • Q3 FY25 non-GAAP adjustments: $1.6M deferred financing cost write-off; $0.5M warehouse severance; tax impacts; total ~$0.04 per share; prior-year Q3 included acquisition-related comps, imputed interest, asset impairments (also ~$0.04 per share) .
  • Q3 margins: Company GM 39.8% vs 40.6% YoY; wholesale GM 38.4% vs 39.6%; retail GM 52.3% vs 49.1% reflecting merchandising improvements .

Sources: Q3 FY2025 8-K and press release (Dec 10, 2024) ; Q3 FY2025 earnings call (Dec 10, 2024) ; Q2 FY2025 press release/call (Sep 5, 2024) ; Q1 FY2025 press release/call (Jun 6, 2024) .